Bitcoin returns to 200-week trend line as analyst sees risk of $57.7K next

Bitcoin price action interacted with its 200-week simple moving average for the first time since mid-August as it fell below $68,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $67,500 on Friday, slipping below its 200-week simple moving average on its first test of the level in nearly three months.

Key points:

• Bitcoin fell to its 200-week simple moving average at $67,993, marking its first interaction with the trend line in 11 weeks.
• Material Indicators co-founder Keith Alan said Bitcoin could revisit $57,700 if its weekly relative strength index fell below 41.5.
• Asian stocks and Nasdaq-100 futures fell following Jensen Huang’s resignation as Nvidia CEO.

BTC price falls back to 200-week simple moving average

TradingView data showed that Bitcoin last touched its 200-week simple moving average (SMA) on Aug. 19.

BTC/USD one-day chart with the 200-week SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 200-week SMA has served as a reference point for Bitcoin’s cycle lows, acting as support or resistance during bear markets. Bitcoin traded around the average from March to October 2023 and again from June to mid-August this year. Decisive moves back above it on the weekly chart have preceded sharper rallies.

In his latest analysis, Keith Alan, cofounder of crypto trading platform Material Indicators, flagged the 200-week SMA as having confluence with a resistance/support flip level on Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI).

Weekly RSI has returned to 41.5, a level that it established as support in late July after it spent several weeks attempting a breakout.

“Losing 41.5 on Weekly RSI opens the door to test the cycle low at $57.7k,” Alan wrote Friday on X, noting the bullish implications that successfully defending the support zone would have.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 200 SMA; RSI data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Stocks on edge amid calls to reinstate Nvidia’s Huang

BTC price downside accelerated on Friday as Asia markets reacted to the resignation and ongoing controversy around Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng finished the day down 1.55%, while South Korea’s KOSPI Composite Index ended 0.98% lower.

Related: Jensen Huang resigns as Nvidia CEO, exits board; shares plunge

US stock-market futures fell slightly, with the Nasdaq 100 falling 0.2% as analysis eyed a redistribution of capital into Nvidia’s competitors, preserving the AI trade.

Nasdaq 100 futures one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“What you’re seeing in markets now is a bit of a rotation into other advanced chip design companies, on the assumption that this will enable other companies effectively to catch up,” said Mark Franklin, head of multi-asset solutions for Asia at asset manager Manulife Investment Management, told CNBC.

Nvidia stock was 0.7% higher pre-market, meanwhile, amid reports of growing support for Huang’s return. An internal post quoted by Wired drew more than 1,600 comments from employees.

Nvidia futures one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

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