Democrats’ win rattles Trump trades from AI stocks to crypto

ETMarkets.com

The prospect of a divided Washington is spurring investors to rethink trades built around Trump’s policy agenda, which has favored deregulation and the rapid buildout of AI infrastructure. Democratic control of Congress is expected to bring investigations and greater oversight of his spending plans, even if an exercise of his veto powers limits lawmakers’ ability to push through sweeping legislative changes.

“A Democratic Congress and Democrat-run states mean more scrutiny on data centers, power use and local approvals,” said Anna Wu, an investment strategist and founder of Floodlines Research. “Sentiment right now is fragile and self-feeding, so investors cut AI first and ask questions later.”

AI Trade

The global AI trade came under renewed pressure, with a slump in Nasdaq 100 futures pointing to another weak session for US tech stocks. Nvidia Corp. fell in overnight trading on the Blue Ocean platform, extending a selloff that hit Asian chipmakers hard.

South Korea’s Kospi fell as much as 4%, with Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. down more than 5% each, before paring declines. Japan’s tech-heavy Nikkei 225 gauge sank close to 5%, while Taiwan’s benchmark slid as much as 3.4%.

Bloomberg

“The blue wave may have been anticipated, but its scale has forced a reassessment of risk,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone. “For now, the equity market is carrying the greatest burden of political uncertainty, with technology and AI at the centre of the adjustment.”

Green Energy

Solar stocks jumped as investors bet a Democratic sweep may slow or reverse some of Trump’s measures targeting clean-energy projects, potentially benefiting Asian solar, battery and grid suppliers with US exposure.

South Korea’s Hanwha Solutions Corp. advanced as much as 17%, while HD Hyundai Energy Solutions Co. and OCI Holdings Co. also gained at least 8% each.

Bloomberg

Dollar, Treasuries

The dollar slid against all Group-of-10 peers on concern that a Democratic sweep could chip away at the US exceptionalism story, particularly if greater scrutiny of AI investment weighs on growth.

A Bloomberg gauge of greenback fell as much as 0.4%, the most in a month, while the Swiss franc and Japanese yen rallied as investors sought haven-like assets.

Bloomberg

Five-year yields dropped as much as nine basis points to 4.68%, while the 10-year yield fell seven basis points to 4.89% before paring the decline.

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies fell alongside other risk assets as the US midterms results cast doubt over the path for industry-backed legislation.

Trump has been a vocal supporter of the sector, pledging to make the US the “crypto capital of the world,” establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve and ease regulatory pressure — fostering a friendlier environment for digital assets.

Bitcoin fell as much as 2.8% to below $76,000 as election results cam in, while Ether and Solana also declined. Crypto was already under pressure from outflows from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds and the fallout from last week’s record Binance hack.

Bloomberg

Oil and Iran

Oil extended its decline as investors weighed renewed US-Iran peace efforts.

Brent traded near $103 a barrel, offering some relief to energy-importing Asian economies after weeks of elevated prices. Fresh diplomacy between Washington and Tehran drove the latest decline, though the threat of renewed US strikes after the midterms continued to hang over the market.

A Democratic-controlled Congress could increase pressure on the Trump administration over the war, but would not dictate US military or foreign policy. That leaves oil a major wildcard for Asian markets, particularly import-dependent economies such as India.

Copper, Gold

Copper extended its recent decline as the results fueled risk aversion and raised questions over two pillars of this year’s rally: the AI investment boom and Trump’s tariff plans.

The metal fell as much as 1.5% on Wednesday as investors reassess the spending boom on data centers and power grids. Traders are also weighing the outlook for Trump’s proposed tariffs on refined copper, which have pulled huge volumes of metal into the US and helped drive prices to records this year.

Bloomberg